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83% Of Enterprise Workloads Will Be In The Cloud By 2020!
Ah .. where is the magic ball? What is an enterprise workload?
In my view we will continue to see a transition to cloud type environments for new workloads, and at a much smaller scale for existing workloads. If we include hybrid and self-hosted private cloud environments, then we definitely will see a continued increase in enterprise workloads on the cloud. Note I didn't say MOVING to the cloud .... I believe much of the movement to the cloud will be around new workloads, and expansion of new capabilities on existing workloads. The movement of existing workloads, being reengineered for the cloud will be the last to move unless a clear ROI for movement can be established.
Where the real value of cloud comes into play for enterprises is around the automation, deployment, and architectural models used for the workload. Micro-service, compassable, and more easily dynamically scalable approaches are critical to many of today's emerging workloads.
An interesting forecast was released by Cisco as well at https://www.cisco.com/c/dam/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/global-cloud-index-gci/white-paper-c11-738085.pdf.
Some topics mentioned in this study?
- By 2020, 92 percent of workloads will be processed by cloud data centers
- Annual global cloud IP traffic will reach 14.1 ZB (1.2 ZB per month) by the end of 2020
- Global cloud IP traffic will almost quadruple (3.7-fold) over the next 5 years
Despite the public cloud’s many benefits, migrating enterprise workloads to it can be ominous. Whether you are considering the cloud, or have already moved multiple applications, you will inevitably have to tackle some of the same key tasks with each new workload – ensuring data stays protected, maintaining licensing and compliance, transferring access controls, preventing downtime and availability issues, minimizing transfer costs. These tasks can be simplified into several categories: security, availability, cost optimization and governance. To succeed in the cloud, you must capably address all major challenges of each.
Given that, there is no doubt that the “vast majority” of workloads will go to the cloud any soon. The question is “what is an enterprise workload”. Depending on the definition, you can get different percentages.
Finally, I would like to highlight the (evolving) role of IOT and Serverless computing. Having more and more data (and actions) processed at the boundary, should reduce the amount of transferred data, so allowing the public cloud to become a viable choice for a larger number of cases.
At the end, an organization is a collection of individuals. Most employees, including managers, participate in the geek-industry, where they have (constant) access to other's content and products without investing in buying them their-selves. This includes, Netflix, Spotify, Uber and Airbnb.
As they as individuals are open to such services, organized via Cloud, also companies are becoming more open to use Cloud-Services.
No, I don't think so. There are too many infrastructural/bandwidth issues worldwide (just look at Africa, Latam and Europe).
Also, check this out: SAP, the "cloud company" (as they claim about themselves), just extended their on premise support until 2030: https://diginomica.com/2018/01/09/sap-extends-hcm-premise-support-2030-smart-move-massive-error/